British Intelligence update on Ukraine as of May. 3
On 28 April and 01 May 2023, Russia mounted air launched cruise missiles strike against Ukraine. These were the first such strikes for 50 days, with the last prior strikes occurring on 09 March 2023.
The latest strikes were conducted by Russian long range aviation strategic bombers, both Tu-95 and Tu-160 aircraft, likely using Kh-101 and Kh-555 ALCMs.
Both strikes used smaller number of missiles then seen in previous attacks, which is likely due to Russian attempts to rebuild it ALCM stockpiles.
The observed types of facilities damaged by the Russian strikes indicates a possible shift away from targeting Ukrainian electrical power network . Both recent strikes were likely focused on Ukraine’s military, industrial and logistical infrastructure.