British Intelligence update on Ukraine as of Apr. 15
On 11 April 2023, the Russian State Duma adopted a law establishing a unified registry of individuals eligible for military service.
The key implication of the measure is that in future, the authorities will be able to serve call-up papers electronically, rather than by letter, removing one obstacle which has previously allowed some to dodge the draft.
With individuals’ call-up data now digitally linked to other state-provided online services, it is likely that the authorities will punish draft-dodgers by automatically limiting employment rights and restricting foreign travel.
The measures are reported to be coming into force later in the year; they do not specifically indicate any major new wave of enforced mobilization.
Russia is, for now, prioritising a drive to recruit extra volunteer troops. However, the measure is highly likely part of a longer-term approach to provide personnel as Russia anticipates a lengthy conflict in Ukraine.
