British Intelligence update on Ukraine as of Apr. 21
With soft ground conditions across most of Ukraine, severe mud is highly likely slowing operations for both sides in the conflict.
However, Russian online outlets are likely exaggerating the overall impact of mud on Ukrainian forces as part of an information operation aimed at raising Russian morale, and undermining Ukraine’s supporters, in light of an anticipated Ukrainian counter offensive.
Surface conditions can be expected to improve in the coming weeks. The threat from mines probably continues to be a more important factor in limiting the combatants’ off-road manoeuvre.
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